Jefferson County
Jefferson County voted D+66.3 for president in 2024, which is 89.1 points more Democratic than the state. Black residents are 81.2% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
D+76.6
Model, statewide R+6.5
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
D+76.1
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+17.0
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
10.7 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #74 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | D+60.0 | R+19.0 | -79.0 | 3,060 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | D+75.9 | R+7.3 | -83.1 | 3,192 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | D+76.8 | R+5.1 | -81.8 | 3,334 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | D+55.9 | R+20.0 | -75.9 | 3,228 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | D+73.0 | R+15.7 | -88.6 | 3,258 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | D+71.5 | R+16.5 | -88.1 | 3,908 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | D+75.4 | R+10.0 | -85.4 | 3,916 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | D+77.0 | R+3.2 | -80.2 | 2,713 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | D+54.0 | R+21.5 | -75.4 | 2,667 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | D+64.7 | R+16.1 | -80.9 | 2,658 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | D+66.3 | R+22.9 | -89.1 | 3,299 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | D+58.3 | R+25.6 | -84.0 | 3,327 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 18.5% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Jefferson outlined
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