Lincoln County
Lincoln County voted R+45.4 for president in 2024, which is 22.5 points more Republican than the state. Black residents are 30.3% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
R+35.4
Model, statewide R+6.5
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
R+27.7
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+11.5
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
18.6 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #35 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | R+41.9 | R+19.0 | +22.9 | 12,223 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+36.1 | R+7.3 | +28.8 | 12,544 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | R+22.9 | R+5.1 | +17.8 | 11,420 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+41.4 | R+20.0 | +21.3 | 11,311 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | R+36.7 | R+15.7 | +21.0 | 11,387 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | R+39.0 | R+16.5 | +22.5 | 16,801 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+36.4 | R+10.0 | +26.5 | 16,802 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | R+26.8 | R+3.2 | +23.6 | 11,349 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+41.4 | R+21.5 | +20.0 | 11,204 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+39.5 | R+16.1 | +23.4 | 11,299 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+45.4 | R+22.9 | +22.5 | 15,802 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+48.0 | R+25.6 | +22.3 | 15,679 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 25.3% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Lincoln outlined
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