Marion County
Marion County voted R+41.6 for president in 2024, which is 18.8 points more Republican than the state. Black residents are 32.1% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
R+26.6
Model, statewide R+6.5
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
R+23.2
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+11.6
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
19.4 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #30 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | R+35.6 | R+19.0 | +16.6 | 8,801 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+27.3 | R+7.3 | +20.1 | 8,632 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | R+26.3 | R+5.1 | +21.2 | 8,867 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+35.0 | R+20.0 | +15.0 | 8,799 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | R+34.1 | R+15.7 | +18.4 | 8,823 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | R+36.8 | R+16.5 | +20.3 | 12,177 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+29.9 | R+10.0 | +19.9 | 12,185 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | R+22.2 | R+3.2 | +19.0 | 7,402 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+33.9 | R+21.5 | +12.4 | 7,322 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+32.3 | R+16.1 | +16.2 | 7,362 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+41.6 | R+22.9 | +18.8 | 11,188 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+41.5 | R+25.6 | +15.9 | 11,086 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 29.2% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Marion outlined
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