Monroe County
Monroe County voted R+35.9 for president in 2024, which is 13.0 points more Republican than the state. Black residents are 30.2% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
R+24.5
Model, statewide R+11.7
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
R+7.8
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+13.4
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
29.1 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #3 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | R+33.7 | R+19.0 | +14.6 | 11,695 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+20.1 | R+7.3 | +12.8 | 11,869 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | R+15.5 | R+5.1 | +10.4 | 12,305 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+31.6 | R+20.0 | +11.5 | 12,120 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | R+25.8 | R+15.7 | +10.1 | 12,181 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | R+30.7 | R+16.5 | +14.2 | 17,259 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+23.6 | R+10.0 | +13.6 | 17,271 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | R+6.8 | R+3.2 | +3.6 | 11,344 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+29.7 | R+21.5 | +8.2 | 11,207 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+28.0 | R+16.1 | +11.8 | 11,182 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+35.9 | R+22.9 | +13.0 | 16,069 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+37.0 | R+25.6 | +11.3 | 15,945 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 31.3% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Monroe outlined
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