Neshoba County
Neshoba County voted R+50.9 for president in 2024, which is 28.0 points more Republican than the state. Black residents are 21.4% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
R+40.6
Model, statewide R+6.5
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
R+37.6
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+16.8
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
14.2 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #60 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | R+49.1 | R+19.0 | +30.1 | 7,946 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+41.4 | R+7.3 | +34.1 | 7,386 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | R+30.3 | R+5.1 | +25.2 | 8,082 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+36.0 | R+20.0 | +16.0 | 8,111 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | R+41.2 | R+15.7 | +25.6 | 8,102 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | R+43.2 | R+16.5 | +26.7 | 11,703 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+36.1 | R+10.0 | +26.1 | 11,633 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | R+36.7 | R+3.2 | +33.5 | 6,869 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+47.5 | R+21.5 | +26.0 | 6,818 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+45.9 | R+16.1 | +29.8 | 6,854 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+50.9 | R+22.9 | +28.0 | 10,861 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+52.9 | R+25.6 | +27.3 | 10,784 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 36.5% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Neshoba outlined
Get the Mississippi numbers in your inbox
A free weekly email with forecast updates, county shifts and new analysis, plus election-night alerts. Nonpartisan and data-first.
Free. Unsubscribe anytime.