Smith County
Smith County voted R+60.7 for president in 2024, which is 37.8 points more Republican than the state. Black residents are 24.1% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
R+51.7
Model, statewide R+11.7
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
R+39.7
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+10.9
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
22.0 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #16 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | R+53.0 | R+19.0 | +34.0 | 5,844 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+47.3 | R+7.3 | +40.0 | 5,676 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | R+32.2 | R+5.1 | +27.1 | 6,504 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+50.6 | R+20.0 | +30.6 | 6,448 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | R+51.8 | R+15.7 | +36.1 | 6,465 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | R+56.0 | R+16.5 | +39.5 | 8,327 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | R+50.9 | R+10.0 | +40.9 | 8,309 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | R+38.8 | R+3.2 | +35.5 | 4,947 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+54.3 | R+21.5 | +32.8 | 4,875 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+52.1 | R+16.1 | +36.0 | 4,949 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+60.7 | R+22.9 | +37.8 | 7,676 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+61.7 | R+25.6 | +36.1 | 7,616 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 31.7% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Smith outlined
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