Warren County
Warren County voted R+4.0 for president in 2024, which is 18.9 points more Democratic than the state. Black residents are 49.0% of the population (ACS).
Senate 2026 projection
D+1.4
Model, statewide R+11.7
Gov 2027 (strong Dem) projection
D+7.3
Model, a year out
Senate swing 2020→2024
+12.8
Positive = toward R
Reeves gap
12.2 pts
Trump 2024 minus Reeves 2023; #67 of 82
Election history
Show all 12 elections, 2018–2024, county vs. state
| Election | County | State | County vs state | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Baria (D) | R+9.9 | R+19.0 | -9.1 | 15,185 |
| 2018 Senate special runoff: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | D+5.8 | R+7.3 | -13.1 | 15,039 |
| 2019 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Hood (D) | D+5.1 | R+5.1 | -10.2 | 14,323 |
| 2019 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Hughes (D) | R+19.0 | R+20.0 | -1.0 | 14,183 |
| 2019 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Collins (D) | R+3.9 | R+15.7 | -11.7 | 14,258 |
| 2020 President: Trump (R) v. Biden (D) | D+0.4 | R+16.5 | -16.9 | 21,053 |
| 2020 Senate: Hyde-Smith (R) v. Espy (D) | D+4.5 | R+10.0 | -14.5 | 21,011 |
| 2023 Governor: Reeves (R) v. Presley (D) | D+8.2 | R+3.2 | -11.5 | 13,473 |
| 2023 Lt. Governor: Hosemann (R) v. Grover (D) | R+17.3 | R+21.5 | -4.2 | 13,351 |
| 2023 Attorney General: Fitch (R) v. Kemp Martin (D) | R+2.9 | R+16.1 | -13.2 | 13,354 |
| 2024 President: Trump (R) v. Harris (D) | R+4.0 | R+22.9 | -18.9 | 18,298 |
| 2024 Senate: Wicker (R) v. Pinkins (D) | R+8.3 | R+25.6 | -17.3 | 18,042 |
Margins are Republican minus Democrat, as a share of all votes cast. Turnout in the 2018 runoff was 28.4% lower than in the 2020 Senate race.
2024 presidential margin; Warren outlined
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